Архипов Д.В. Принятие решений в ситуации изменений: зарубежные исследования 2016– 2026 годов

Научная статья
УДК: 316.6
https://doi.org/10.24158/spp.2026.7.11
 

Принятие решений в ситуации изменений:

зарубежные исследования 2016–2026 годов

 
Дмитрий Викторович Архипов
Московский Государственный Университет имени М.В. Ломоносова, Москва, Россия,
ardmpsy@mail.ru, https://orcid.org/0009-0008-3625-0091
 
Аннотация. В статье систематизируются зарубежные социально-психологические исследования принятия решений работниками, руководителями и группами в ситуации организационных изменений, выполненные с 2016 по 2026 год. Десятилетие рассматривается как этап, на котором предметная область, опираясь на сложившееся к середине 2000-х противопоставление интуитивного и аналитического способов суждения, перешла от их разграничения к изучению их совместной работы в условиях неопределенности. Прослеживаются четыре линии развития: интеграция интуиции и рационального расчета в стратегических решениях управленческих команд; осмысление роли производства смыслов и разделяемых эмоций в совместной деятельности при изменениях; уточнение применимости эвристик суждений; формирование проблематики доверия к алгоритмам и распределения решений между людьми и системами искусственного интеллекта в цифровой среде взаимодействия. Зарубежные результаты соотносятся с отечественной традицией изучения совместной деятельности, доверия и отношения личности и группы к новым технологиям. В отечественной психологии принятие решений в указанной социально-психологической постановке системно не разрабатывалось; настоящая работа впервые системно представляет зарубежный опыт в соотнесении с этой традицией.
Ключевые слова: принятие решений, совместная деятельность, социальное взаимодействие, неопределенность, организационные изменения, интуиция, эвристики суждений, производство смыслов, групповые решения, доверие к искусственному интеллекту
Финансирование: инициативная работа.
Для цитирования: Архипов Д.В. Принятие решений в ситуации изменений: зарубежные исследования 2016–2026 годов // Общество: социология, психология, педагогика. 2026. № 7. С. 92–98. https://doi.org/10.24158/spp.2026.7.11.
 
Original article
 

Decision-Making in Situations of Change:

International Research from 2016 to 2026

 
Dmitry V. Arkhipov
Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia,
ardmpsy@mail.ru, https://orcid.org/0009-0008-3625-0091
 
Abstract. This article systematizes international social-psychological studies on decision-making by employees, managers, and groups in situations of organizational change conducted between 2016 and 2026. This decade is considered as a stage during which the field, building on the dichotomy between intuitive and analytical modes of judgement that had been established by the mid-2000^s, shifted from treating them as distinct to investigating their interplay under conditions of uncertainty. Four development trajectories are traced: the integration of intuition and rational calculation in strategic decisions of management teams; examining the role of sensemaking and shared emotions in collaborative activity during change; refining the boundaries of applicability for judgment heuristics; and the emergence of research on trust in algorithms and the allocation of decision-making between humans and artificial intelligence systems. The international findings are discussed in relation to the Russian tradition of studying joint activity, trust, and attitudes of the person and the group toward new technologies. Russian psychology has not systematically addressed decision-making within this social-psychological framework; this work is the first to systematically present international experience in relation to that tradition.
Keywords: decision-making, joint activity, social interaction, uncertainty, organizational change, intuition, judgment heuristics, sensemaking, group decisions, trust in artificial intelligence
Funding: Independent work.
For citation: Arkhipov, D.V. (2026) Decision-Making in Situations of Change: International Research from 2016 to 2026. Society: Sociology, Psychology, Pedagogics. (7) 92–98. Available from: doi:10.24158/spp.2026.7.11 (In Russian).

© Архипов Д.В., 2026

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Calabretta, G., Gemser, G. & Wijnberg, N.M. (2017) The Interplay between Intuition and Rationality in Strategic Decision Making: A Paradox Perspective. Organization Studies, 38 (3–4), 365–401. Available from: doi:10.1177/0170840616655483.
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Csaszar, F.A. & Steinberger, T. (2022) Organizations as Artificial Intelligences: The Use of Artificial Intelligence Analogies in Organization Theory. Academy of Management Annals, 16 (1), 1–37. Available from: doi:10.5465/annals.2020.0192.
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